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Red121
317933.0
180635.3
234119.3
Blue107
316316.2
500646.5
133960.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76130050100150200121107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#12
35.32.6
29.832.3
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End6.7
blue by 25.3
60.60.9
60.259.3
Auto16.1
Teleop35.6
End8.6
Second
3179
#11
33.02.6
31.033.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.3
End7.2
blue by 13.6
46.50.9
37.837.0
Auto12.3
Teleop26.2
End8.1
Third
2341
#32
19.32.6
16.919.5
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End4.1
red by 3.1
3163
#33
16.21.5
17.115.7
Auto1.9
Teleop9.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed51%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed