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Red49
346520.5
924417.4
239520.0
Blue59
316316.2
875217.8
555022.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515702004006008004959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3465
#37
20.50.3
13.813.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End2.9
blue by 1.9
5550
#40
22.40.4
19.620.0
Auto8.9
Teleop9.4
End4.1
Second
2395
#31
20.00.3
17.917.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.4
End4.7
red by 2.3
8752
#38
17.80.7
17.217.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End4.8
Third
9244
#45
17.40.5
16.816.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.1
End2.6
red by 1.1
3163
#33
16.20.7
15.716.4
Auto1.9
Teleop9.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed25%Activation oddsEarned