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Red80
235247.4
120931.0
806412.8
Blue114
216531.2
208333.1
234119.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1007505015020025080114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.7
43.142.4
Auto14.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
red by 14.2
2083
#16
33.11.4
26.027.4
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End9.5
Second
1209
#19
31.00.7
29.228.5
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End7.7
blue by 0.2
2165
#23
31.21.4
27.729.1
Auto10.8
Teleop12.5
End8.0
Third
8064
#41
12.81.1
18.016.8
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End2.5
blue by 6.5
2341
#32
19.31.4
19.520.8
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned