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Red100
875217.8
180635.3
602632.3
Blue41
774414.4
748324.1
350714.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85595010015010041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#12
35.31.5
34.335.8
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End6.7
red by 11.2
7483
#27
24.11.2
20.018.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.0
End7.6
Second
6026
#35
32.31.5
25.226.8
Auto7.1
Teleop17.1
End8.2
red by 17.8
7744
#44
14.41.9
16.414.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.7
End4.6
Third
8752
#38
17.82.6
17.319.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End4.8
red by 3.8
3507
#36
14.01.9
22.120.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsMissed