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Red111
500646.5
464643.2
120931.0
Blue112
393133.9
501347.7
93526.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116105050150200250300350111112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.2
39.439.7
Auto12.3
Teleop26.2
End8.1
blue by 1.2
47.70.8
45.546.3
Auto9.4
Teleop28.9
End9.3
Second
4646
#17
43.20.2
37.137.4
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End6.7
red by 9.3
3931
#13
33.90.8
31.232.0
Auto10.7
Teleop16.1
End7.1
Third
1209
#19
31.00.2
30.831.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End7.7
red by 4.7
935
#21
26.30.8
23.123.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned