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Red125
461362.0
400533.7
233334.9
Blue77
237335.8
813612.3
235735.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138835010015020025012577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.00.2
60.360.4
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End8.3
red by 26.1
2357
#22
35.80.5
37.136.6
Auto11.4
Teleop17.3
End7.1
Second
2333
#34
34.90.2
31.731.9
Auto10.2
Teleop20.4
End4.2
blue by 0.8
2373
#25
35.80.5
33.032.5
Auto10.1
Teleop21.0
End4.5
Third
4005
#10
33.70.2
30.530.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.5
End5.1
red by 21.4
8136
#46
12.30.8
14.313.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsMissed