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Red30
774414.4
680917.2
875217.8
Blue155
133960.6
871115.1
235247.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40140010020025030155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8752
#38
17.82.1
19.917.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End4.8
blue by 42.8
60.60.3
60.660.9
Auto16.1
Teleop35.6
End8.6
Second
6809
#43
17.21.4
16.014.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End4.9
blue by 30.2
47.40.3
43.744.0
Auto14.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Third
7744
#44
14.42.1
14.512.4
Auto2.2
Teleop7.7
End4.6
blue by 0.7
8711
#47
15.10.3
14.314.6
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsMissed