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Red99
208333.1
806412.8
346520.5
Blue103
180635.3
393133.9
241033.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42810206010012014016099103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#16
33.10.9
19.720.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End9.5
blue by 2.2
1806
#12
35.32.0
23.625.6
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End6.7
Second
3465
#37
20.51.0
8.29.3
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End2.9
blue by 13.4
3931
#13
33.91.8
23.625.4
Auto10.7
Teleop16.1
End7.1
Third
8064
#41
12.81.5
16.317.8
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End2.5
blue by 20.7
33.51.8
24.125.8
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsEarned