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Red107
873110.9
132544.7
316139.2
Blue132
111447.9
765919.6
403953.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9513450150200107132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.3
44.444.7
Auto11.5
Teleop25.8
End7.5
blue by 8.9
53.60.1
53.553.6
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End10.8
Second
3161
#12
39.20.3
38.939.2
Auto8.1
Teleop25.4
End5.7
blue by 8.7
47.90.1
47.747.9
Auto12.9
Teleop25.7
End9.3
Third
8731
#24
10.90.3
10.610.9
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End4.9
blue by 8.7
7659
#18
19.60.1
19.519.6
Auto7.2
Teleop7.5
End4.9