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Red70
415234.0
769015.6
293514.8
Blue113
765919.6
497645.7
128534.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6576204010012014070113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.8
28.729.5
Auto10.5
Teleop16.0
End7.5
blue by 11.8
45.74.8
27.832.6
Auto12.5
Teleop24.2
End9.0
Second
7690
#19
15.60.8
14.315.1
Auto7.6
Teleop2.7
End5.3
blue by 19.0
34.54.8
25.730.5
Auto10.6
Teleop17.1
End6.8
Third
2935
#28
14.80.8
19.620.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.9
End3.7
blue by 4.8
7659
#18
19.64.8
16.321.1
Auto7.2
Teleop7.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned