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Red74
775720.6
686415.4
909829.6
Blue69
685912.6
497645.7
490329.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5370204060801001207469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.62.5
17.720.2
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End6.3
blue by 16.1
45.70.6
32.633.2
Auto12.5
Teleop24.2
End9.0
Second
7757
#17
20.62.5
21.123.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.1
End7.2
blue by 8.7
4903
#26
29.20.6
20.921.5
Auto7.9
Teleop16.6
End4.8
Third
6864
#23
15.42.5
12.715.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End4.1
red by 2.9
6859
#25
12.60.6
10.210.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsEarned