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Red79
316139.2
492029.8
567215.1
Blue95
503120.4
111447.9
86519.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6787204060801001201407995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#12
39.21.6
24.225.8
Auto8.1
Teleop25.4
End5.7
blue by 8.7
47.90.7
40.541.2
Auto12.9
Teleop25.7
End9.3
Second
4920
#14
29.81.6
18.820.4
Auto12.4
Teleop9.3
End8.1
red by 9.4
5031
#16
20.40.7
16.717.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.2
End7.7
Third
5672
#22
15.11.6
21.923.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End5.7
blue by 4.4
865
#21
19.50.7
21.622.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned