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Red43
686415.4
78118.9
588522.3
Blue97
316139.2
128534.5
406930.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63682040801004397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5885
#15
22.33.0
20.817.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End6.6
blue by 16.9
3161
#12
39.23.2
18.922.1
Auto8.1
Teleop25.4
End5.7
Second
781
#11
18.93.0
20.917.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End4.4
blue by 15.6
34.53.2
20.924.1
Auto10.6
Teleop17.1
End6.8
Third
6864
#23
15.43.0
18.215.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End4.1
blue by 14.9
30.33.2
23.526.7
Auto8.8
Teleop15.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsMissed