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Red93
111447.9
492029.8
775720.6
Blue110
132544.7
316139.2
588522.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9779406012014093110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.1
43.143.1
Auto12.9
Teleop25.7
End9.3
red by 3.2
44.73.8
35.439.2
Auto11.5
Teleop25.8
End7.5
Second
4920
#14
29.80.1
23.223.2
Auto12.4
Teleop9.3
End8.1
blue by 9.4
3161
#12
39.23.8
25.929.7
Auto8.1
Teleop25.4
End5.7
Third
7757
#17
20.60.1
22.122.0
Auto7.2
Teleop6.1
End7.2
blue by 1.8
5885
#15
22.33.8
14.818.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsEarned