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Red85
765919.6
373923.1
316139.2
Blue104
909829.6
588522.3
497645.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions838570809010011085104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#12
39.20.8
31.732.5
Auto8.1
Teleop25.4
End5.7
blue by 6.5
45.72.6
39.742.2
Auto12.5
Teleop24.2
End9.0
Second
3739
#13
23.10.8
25.326.1
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End6.9
blue by 6.6
29.62.6
23.926.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End6.3
Third
7659
#18
19.60.8
20.721.4
Auto7.2
Teleop7.5
End4.9
blue by 2.7
5885
#15
22.32.6
15.718.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned