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Red56
78118.9
720016.5
503120.4
Blue35
685912.6
86519.5
775720.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64572040801005635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#16
20.40.8
19.118.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.2
End7.7
blue by 0.1
7757
#17
20.62.0
19.217.2
Auto7.2
Teleop6.1
End7.2
Second
781
#11
18.90.8
21.921.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End4.4
blue by 0.6
865
#21
19.52.0
24.022.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End6.2
Third
7200
#20
16.50.8
18.117.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End3.7
red by 4.0
6859
#25
12.62.0
11.09.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsMissed