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Red103
909829.6
503120.4
403953.6
Blue50
124135.8
293514.8
78118.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions997202040608012014016010350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.61.3
44.445.7
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End10.8
red by 17.8
35.82.0
32.930.9
Auto8.8
Teleop20.3
End6.8
Second
29.61.3
26.427.8
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End6.3
red by 10.7
781
#11
18.92.0
21.019.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End4.4
Third
5031
#16
20.41.3
18.319.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.2
End7.7
red by 5.6
2935
#28
14.82.0
17.115.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsMissed