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Red118
775720.6
403953.6
490329.2
Blue127
111447.9
128534.5
124135.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88109406080100120140160118127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.62.9
45.748.7
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End10.8
red by 5.8
47.92.5
42.144.6
Auto12.9
Teleop25.7
End9.3
Second
4903
#26
29.22.9
23.126.0
Auto7.9
Teleop16.6
End4.8
blue by 6.6
35.82.5
30.933.4
Auto8.8
Teleop20.3
End6.8
Third
7757
#17
20.62.9
16.019.0
Auto7.2
Teleop6.1
End7.2
blue by 14.0
34.52.5
26.228.7
Auto10.6
Teleop17.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned