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Red85
406930.3
492029.8
293514.8
Blue69
909829.6
567215.1
720016.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7564020401001208569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.31.3
29.230.4
Auto8.8
Teleop15.8
End5.7
red by 0.7
29.60.2
28.928.7
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End6.3
Second
4920
#14
29.81.3
26.327.6
Auto12.4
Teleop9.3
End8.1
red by 13.3
7200
#20
16.50.2
17.016.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End3.7
Third
2935
#28
14.81.3
13.815.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.9
End3.7
blue by 0.3
5672
#22
15.10.2
15.915.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed