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Red71
720016.5
406930.3
909829.6
Blue62
492029.8
128534.5
86519.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79842040601001201401607162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.30.1
29.929.8
Auto8.8
Teleop15.8
End5.7
blue by 4.2
34.50.4
32.632.3
Auto10.6
Teleop17.1
End6.8
Second
29.60.1
29.229.1
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End6.3
blue by 0.2
4920
#14
29.80.4
27.927.6
Auto12.4
Teleop9.3
End8.1
Third
7200
#20
16.50.1
16.116.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End3.7
blue by 3.0
865
#21
19.50.4
17.617.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End6.2