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Red67
373923.1
78118.9
775720.6
Blue103
492029.8
128534.5
86519.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63850204010012014067103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#13
23.10.1
23.023.1
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End6.9
blue by 11.4
34.50.4
32.332.6
Auto10.6
Teleop17.1
End6.8
Second
7757
#17
20.60.1
20.420.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.1
End7.2
blue by 9.2
4920
#14
29.80.4
27.627.9
Auto12.4
Teleop9.3
End8.1
Third
781
#11
18.90.1
18.818.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End4.4
blue by 0.6
865
#21
19.50.4
17.217.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End6.2