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Red85
888429.7
285230.8
503230.2
Blue127
263441.9
316148.1
765926.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8911305010015020085127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#32
30.80.1
24.824.7
Auto12.9
Teleop12.5
End5.5
blue by 17.3
3161
#30
48.10.3
45.445.7
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End7.2
Second
5032
#40
30.20.1
31.831.7
Auto5.9
Teleop16.8
End7.6
blue by 11.7
2634
#14
41.90.3
33.433.7
Auto6.2
Teleop27.0
End8.6
Third
8884
#28
29.70.1
29.729.6
Auto10.1
Teleop12.7
End6.7
red by 3.5
7659
#39
26.30.3
24.224.4
Auto7.9
Teleop13.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed42%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsMissed