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Red128
447654.9
808140.7
136031.5
Blue121
316148.1
124158.6
702223.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127130050100150200250300350400128121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.4
49.248.8
Auto15.0
Teleop29.5
End9.7
blue by 3.7
58.61.4
52.751.4
Auto14.7
Teleop33.7
End9.3
Second
8081
#19
40.70.4
42.842.4
Auto12.8
Teleop22.4
End5.6
blue by 7.4
3161
#30
48.11.4
45.744.3
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End7.2
Third
1360
#35
31.50.4
27.527.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End8.4
red by 8.6
7022
#34
23.01.4
23.321.9
Auto9.0
Teleop7.7
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed62%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed