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Red179
909845.9
368364.2
316148.1
Blue112
697837.7
78138.2
77233.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1749450150200250179112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.21.7
65.867.5
Auto15.2
Teleop39.8
End8.5
red by 26.1
781
#10
38.20.9
31.532.4
Auto11.8
Teleop19.0
End7.3
Second
3161
#30
48.11.7
44.346.0
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End7.2
red by 10.4
37.70.9
38.639.5
Auto10.8
Teleop19.3
End7.8
Third
9098
#12
45.91.7
43.445.1
Auto11.3
Teleop26.7
End8.1
red by 12.0
772
#31
33.90.9
28.429.3
Auto9.3
Teleop17.4
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned