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Red140
78138.2
447654.9
220053.8
Blue115
583429.1
503230.2
748039.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1668650100150200250140115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.7
52.251.5
Auto15.0
Teleop29.5
End9.7
red by 15.5
7480
#17
39.41.6
37.439.0
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End8.3
Second
53.80.7
57.056.3
Auto16.1
Teleop28.9
End8.5
red by 23.6
5032
#40
30.21.6
29.631.2
Auto5.9
Teleop16.8
End7.6
Third
781
#10
38.20.7
37.837.0
Auto11.8
Teleop19.0
End7.3
red by 9.1
5834
#26
29.11.6
23.725.3
Auto10.6
Teleop12.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned