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Red108
495117.4
697837.7
368364.2
Blue84
906221.2
503132.1
415240.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140995015020010884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.21.6
70.368.7
Auto15.2
Teleop39.8
End8.5
red by 24.2
4152
#18
40.10.9
44.643.6
Auto13.2
Teleop20.2
End6.3
Second
37.71.6
41.439.9
Auto10.8
Teleop19.3
End7.8
red by 5.6
5031
#15
32.10.9
31.730.8
Auto9.7
Teleop14.5
End7.9
Third
4951
#33
17.41.6
14.913.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.1
End5.1
blue by 3.8
9062
#36
21.20.9
21.921.0
Auto6.0
Teleop8.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsMissed35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned