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Red124
220053.8
415240.1
909845.9
Blue135
755851.4
808140.7
270242.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15913450100200250124135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.81.5
55.153.6
Auto16.1
Teleop28.9
End8.5
red by 2.4
51.40.4
52.152.5
Auto12.8
Teleop30.4
End7.4
Second
9098
#12
45.91.5
47.546.0
Auto11.3
Teleop26.7
End8.1
red by 3.4
2702
#20
42.50.4
35.335.7
Auto15.4
Teleop21.2
End5.5
Third
4152
#18
40.11.5
43.742.2
Auto13.2
Teleop20.2
End6.3
blue by 0.6
8081
#19
40.70.4
41.742.1
Auto12.8
Teleop22.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed