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Red110
713634.9
765926.3
748039.4
Blue118
130540.5
316148.1
495117.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101088090100120130140110118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7480
#17
39.40.4
39.539.1
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End8.3
blue by 8.7
3161
#30
48.10.7
46.146.7
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End7.2
Second
7136
#24
34.90.4
34.734.3
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End9.1
blue by 5.6
1305
#21
40.50.7
43.644.3
Auto12.4
Teleop20.1
End8.0
Third
7659
#39
26.30.4
27.026.6
Auto7.9
Teleop13.2
End5.3
red by 8.9
4951
#33
17.40.7
13.314.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsMissed40%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsMissed