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Red94
285230.8
583429.1
909845.9
Blue109
540653.3
137423.1
906221.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111104608012014016094109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9098
#12
45.91.3
46.044.7
Auto11.3
Teleop26.7
End8.1
blue by 7.4
53.30.1
54.454.5
Auto14.4
Teleop31.2
End7.2
Second
2852
#32
30.81.3
30.829.5
Auto12.9
Teleop12.5
End5.5
red by 7.6
1374
#25
23.10.1
22.922.9
Auto7.8
Teleop8.4
End6.9
Third
5834
#26
29.11.3
26.825.5
Auto10.6
Teleop12.9
End5.5
red by 7.9
9062
#36
21.20.1
20.820.9
Auto6.0
Teleop8.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsMissed67%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsMissed