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Red152
888429.7
447654.9
497649.6
Blue105
713634.9
495117.4
540944.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1479550200152105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.3
53.453.1
Auto15.0
Teleop29.5
End9.7
red by 10.4
5409
#11
44.60.6
47.147.8
Auto12.8
Teleop24.4
End7.3
Second
49.60.3
50.950.7
Auto13.8
Teleop27.1
End8.4
red by 14.7
7136
#24
34.90.6
34.334.9
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End9.1
Third
8884
#28
29.70.3
27.827.5
Auto10.1
Teleop12.7
End6.7
red by 12.4
4951
#33
17.40.6
14.014.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned