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Red74
702223.0
834923.8
368364.2
Blue95
130540.5
540944.6
808925.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12712680901001101201401501607495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.22.9
65.462.4
Auto15.2
Teleop39.8
End8.5
red by 19.7
5409
#11
44.61.9
47.845.9
Auto12.8
Teleop24.4
End7.3
Second
8349
#37
23.82.9
26.723.8
Auto7.3
Teleop9.7
End6.9
blue by 16.7
1305
#21
40.51.9
44.342.4
Auto12.4
Teleop20.1
End8.0
Third
7022
#34
23.02.9
25.923.0
Auto9.0
Teleop7.7
End6.4
blue by 2.0
8089
#38
25.01.9
26.925.0
Auto10.6
Teleop7.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsMissed60%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsMissed