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Red134
637827.5
503627.5
132567.1
Blue96
201347.6
238631.4
686522.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1279505015020013496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.11.3
64.465.7
Auto16.7
Teleop39.4
End9.6
red by 19.4
2013
#21
47.60.2
46.446.6
Auto14.2
Teleop26.4
End6.3
Second
5036
#31
27.51.3
26.227.5
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End5.8
blue by 3.9
2386
#18
31.40.2
25.425.6
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End5.9
Third
6378
#33
27.51.3
24.926.2
Auto10.1
Teleop12.8
End4.5
red by 5.1
6865
#40
22.40.2
21.321.5
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned