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Red103
872931.3
201347.6
559623.4
Blue56
926319.2
747624.2
86537.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037705015020010356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#21
47.60.7
46.847.4
Auto14.2
Teleop26.4
End6.3
red by 10.0
865
#15
37.61.3
32.631.3
Auto10.8
Teleop17.7
End9.1
Second
8729
#25
31.30.7
31.732.4
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End8.9
red by 7.1
7476
#37
24.21.3
23.822.5
Auto6.7
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Third
5596
#32
23.40.7
14.715.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End6.7
red by 4.3
9263
#35
19.21.3
18.917.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsEarned