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Red122
434339.8
201347.6
775728.1
Blue113
468849.6
503627.5
747624.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12591050150200122113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#21
47.60.6
48.248.9
Auto14.2
Teleop26.4
End6.3
blue by 2.0
49.61.5
45.146.6
Auto10.9
Teleop29.8
End8.4
Second
4343
#12
39.80.6
38.138.7
Auto11.8
Teleop22.3
End5.6
red by 12.3
5036
#31
27.51.5
21.623.2
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End5.8
Third
7757
#30
28.10.6
26.427.0
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End6.3
red by 3.8
7476
#37
24.21.5
23.124.6
Auto6.7
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned