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Red149
406951.1
588530.5
270641.9
Blue110
775728.1
260950.2
685426.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11994050150200149110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.11.7
41.343.0
Auto14.5
Teleop28.5
End8.2
red by 0.9
2609
#14
50.20.6
48.549.1
Auto13.1
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Second
2706
#22
41.91.7
39.140.8
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End8.3
red by 13.9
7757
#30
28.10.6
24.625.2
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End6.3
Third
5885
#19
30.51.7
27.729.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.6
End5.9
red by 4.3
6854
#26
26.20.6
17.918.5
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned