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Red106
686522.4
270641.9
61047.8
Blue63
491743.9
270827.4
872931.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119113608010014016018020010663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#13
47.80.7
52.952.2
Auto14.2
Teleop24.1
End8.7
red by 3.9
4917
#23
43.92.9
44.241.3
Auto11.6
Teleop24.5
End7.4
Second
2706
#22
41.90.7
41.641.0
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End8.3
red by 10.6
8729
#25
31.32.9
32.229.3
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End8.9
Third
6865
#40
22.40.7
16.515.9
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End4.1
blue by 5.0
2708
#29
27.42.9
30.127.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsMissed49%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed