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Red108
502450.1
238631.4
587026.8
Blue164
131049.8
494661.4
403960.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10917050100150200250108164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.5
50.850.4
Auto12.8
Teleop29.5
End7.9
blue by 11.2
61.40.1
54.454.6
Auto15.5
Teleop35.8
End8.8
Second
2386
#18
31.40.5
31.230.7
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End5.9
blue by 28.7
60.10.1
59.259.3
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End7.2
Third
5870
#28
26.80.5
28.127.6
Auto9.8
Teleop11.5
End5.8
blue by 23.0
1310
#11
49.80.1
46.346.5
Auto16.3
Teleop23.5
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned