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Red130
686428.2
686522.4
494661.4
Blue90
270827.4
502450.1
926319.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101100809011012013013090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.42.5
54.657.0
Auto15.5
Teleop35.8
End8.8
red by 11.2
50.11.0
50.449.3
Auto12.8
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Second
6864
#24
28.22.5
21.724.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End7.8
red by 0.7
2708
#29
27.41.0
27.726.7
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
Third
6865
#40
22.42.5
16.719.2
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End4.1
red by 3.2
9263
#35
19.21.0
17.516.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned