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Red149
111458.5
406951.1
270827.4
Blue151
926319.2
132567.1
128538.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14612350100200149151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#17
58.50.3
57.557.9
Auto14.6
Teleop35.5
End8.0
blue by 8.6
67.11.8
64.466.2
Auto16.7
Teleop39.4
End9.6
Second
51.10.3
49.950.2
Auto14.5
Teleop28.5
End8.2
red by 12.3
1285
#36
38.81.8
37.739.6
Auto12.0
Teleop20.9
End6.0
Third
2708
#29
27.40.3
26.727.0
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
red by 8.3
9263
#35
19.21.8
16.518.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned60%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned