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Red161
260950.2
494661.4
588530.5
Blue129
86537.6
686428.2
503627.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1528150100200161129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.41.1
57.058.2
Auto15.5
Teleop35.8
End8.8
red by 23.7
865
#15
37.62.3
36.238.4
Auto10.8
Teleop17.7
End9.1
Second
2609
#14
50.21.1
48.649.7
Auto13.1
Teleop28.2
End8.7
red by 22.0
6864
#24
28.22.3
25.928.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End7.8
Third
5885
#19
30.51.1
29.430.5
Auto9.1
Teleop15.6
End5.9
red by 3.0
5036
#31
27.52.3
22.925.1
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned