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Red115
698723.4
502450.1
86537.6
Blue97
559623.4
587026.8
270641.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048305015011597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.3
46.446.7
Auto12.8
Teleop29.5
End7.9
red by 8.2
2706
#22
41.90.8
40.841.6
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End8.3
Second
865
#15
37.60.3
30.931.2
Auto10.8
Teleop17.7
End9.1
red by 10.8
5870
#28
26.80.8
23.424.2
Auto9.8
Teleop11.5
End5.8
Third
6987
#39
23.40.3
17.718.0
Auto7.2
Teleop10.6
End5.6
Level
5596
#32
23.40.8
16.116.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned