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Red118
872928.5
999316.8
131052.2
Blue27
559618.1
263425.4
999520.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1198205010015020011827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.5
50.951.4
Auto16.5
Teleop26.8
End8.3
red by 26.8
2634
#25
25.43.2
33.630.4
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End5.9
Second
8729
#11
28.50.5
30.130.7
Auto10.9
Teleop11.9
End6.1
red by 8.3
9995
#24
20.25.4
22.116.7
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End5.0
Third
9993
#15
16.80.9
23.924.8
Auto6.2
Teleop5.0
End6.0
blue by 1.3
5596
#16
18.13.2
19.816.5
Auto6.1
Teleop6.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsMissed