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Red39
857413.3
872928.5
808922.9
Blue134
131052.2
583426.5
999136.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510005015020025030035040039134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8729
#11
28.52.3
31.629.3
Auto10.9
Teleop11.9
End6.1
blue by 23.7
52.22.1
49.851.9
Auto16.5
Teleop26.8
End8.3
Second
8089
#18
22.92.3
25.022.7
Auto8.3
Teleop8.1
End7.2
blue by 13.4
9991
#10
36.33.5
23.226.8
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End9.3
Third
8574
#26
13.32.3
16.914.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End2.7
blue by 13.1
26.52.1
29.131.2
Auto10.3
Teleop11.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned