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Red72
293533.6
263425.4
808922.9
Blue46
999316.8
999222.6
857413.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914301502007246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.61.1
29.728.7
Auto12.7
Teleop14.6
End6.4
red by 11.0
9992
#20
22.60.6
19.018.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End6.1
Second
2634
#25
25.41.1
27.426.4
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End5.9
red by 8.6
9993
#15
16.80.6
19.819.2
Auto6.2
Teleop5.0
End6.0
Third
8089
#18
22.91.1
20.719.7
Auto8.3
Teleop8.1
End7.2
red by 9.5
8574
#26
13.30.4
12.612.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed14%Activation oddsMissed