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Red114
571924.0
132565.3
434330.1
Blue113
467871.4
857413.3
559618.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136101050150200250114113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.30.6
67.867.2
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End9.9
blue by 6.0
71.41.0
66.467.5
Auto19.0
Teleop42.1
End7.6
Second
4343
#23
30.10.6
30.529.9
Auto7.8
Teleop19.3
End2.8
red by 12.0
5596
#16
18.11.0
18.619.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.8
End5.7
Third
5719
#19
24.00.6
26.525.9
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End4.9
red by 10.7
8574
#26
13.31.0
12.213.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsEarned