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Red49
876428.6
999423.7
999520.2
Blue130
403960.4
857413.3
260947.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8312905010015020025049130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8764
#17
28.62.0
31.629.6
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End5.6
blue by 31.8
60.41.0
57.858.9
Auto14.7
Teleop36.5
End8.0
Second
9994
#22
23.72.5
25.623.1
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End8.0
blue by 23.8
47.51.0
44.345.3
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End8.3
Third
9995
#24
20.22.5
22.119.7
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End5.0
red by 6.8
8574
#26
13.31.0
12.313.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned