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Red126
876428.6
540654.9
999136.3
Blue110
583426.5
293533.6
999520.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12180050100150200126110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.1
53.453.6
Auto16.3
Teleop30.3
End7.5
red by 21.3
33.60.5
32.933.4
Auto12.7
Teleop14.6
End6.4
Second
9991
#10
36.30.1
34.734.8
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End9.3
red by 9.8
26.50.5
25.826.2
Auto10.3
Teleop11.7
End4.7
Third
8764
#17
28.60.1
27.127.2
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End5.6
red by 8.4
9995
#24
20.20.5
19.720.2
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End5.0