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Red133
263425.4
260947.5
403960.4
Blue94
270241.3
872928.5
999423.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1479505020025013394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.0
59.359.3
Auto14.7
Teleop36.5
End8.0
red by 19.1
2702
#13
41.30.2
40.740.6
Auto14.5
Teleop22.4
End4.3
Second
47.50.0
46.446.4
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End8.3
red by 19.0
8729
#11
28.50.2
27.927.8
Auto10.9
Teleop11.9
End6.1
Third
2634
#25
25.40.0
24.324.3
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End5.9
red by 1.7
9994
#22
23.70.2
23.122.9
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End8.0