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Red188
499224.8
132564.4
205681.9
Blue146
124153.2
260948.5
685417.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18611750100150200250188146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.90.2
81.781.9
Auto19.8
Teleop51.9
End9.2
red by 28.6
53.20.4
52.853.2
Auto14.4
Teleop30.6
End8.2
Second
64.40.2
64.364.4
Auto14.6
Teleop40.8
End8.2
red by 15.9
48.50.4
48.148.5
Auto14.5
Teleop26.4
End7.6
Third
4992
#21
24.80.2
24.724.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End5.8
red by 6.9
6854
#31
17.90.4
17.517.9
Auto7.5
Teleop2.5
End7.8