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Red88
686521.3
614027.7
750921.5
Blue123
132564.4
18822.2
906220.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions539502040608012014088123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6140
#24
27.72.2
19.021.2
Auto5.3
Teleop15.7
End6.7
blue by 36.7
64.42.6
48.350.9
Auto14.6
Teleop40.8
End8.2
Second
7509
#12
21.52.2
15.317.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End5.7
blue by 0.6
188
#35
22.22.6
22.224.8
Auto9.7
Teleop7.4
End5.1
Third
6865
#18
21.32.2
20.823.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End5.4
red by 0.7
9062
#26
20.52.6
13.616.2
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
25%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned